{
  "updated": "2026-08-12",
  "site": "CRITIQUE — Point de bascule",
  "note": "These are indicators, not a composite uprising probability score.",
  "indicators": [
    {
      "id": "arope_2025",
      "label": "Population at risk of poverty or social exclusion",
      "value": 16.5,
      "unit": "percent",
      "period": "2025",
      "status": "verified",
      "source": "https://statbel.fgov.be/fr/themes/menages/pauvrete-et-conditions-de-vie/risque-de-pauvrete-ou-dexclusion-sociale"
    },
    {
      "id": "population_2026",
      "label": "Belgian population",
      "value": 11867634,
      "unit": "persons",
      "period": "2026-01-01",
      "status": "verified",
      "source": "https://statbel.fgov.be/fr/nouvelles/la-belgique-comptait-11867634-habitants-au-1er-janvier-2026"
    },
    {
      "id": "unemployment_max",
      "label": "Maximum duration of full unemployment benefits under new regime",
      "value": 24,
      "unit": "months",
      "period": "from 2026-03-01",
      "status": "verified",
      "source": "https://www.onem.be/actualites/2026/03/02/nouvelle-reglementation-chomage-en-vigueur-depuis-le-1er-mars-2026"
    },
    {
      "id": "march12_police",
      "label": "National demonstration attendance, police estimate",
      "value": 80000,
      "unit": "persons",
      "period": "2026-03-12",
      "status": "verified-source-attributed",
      "source": "https://www.belganewsagency.eu/about-80000-at-trade-union-demonstration-in-brussels-according-to-police"
    },
    {
      "id": "march12_unions",
      "label": "National demonstration attendance, union estimate",
      "value": 100000,
      "unit": "persons minimum",
      "period": "2026-03-12",
      "status": "source-attributed",
      "source": "https://www.fgtbbruxelles.be/2026/03/12/12-mars-manifestation-nationale/"
    },
    {
      "id": "bim_prev_year",
      "label": "BIM annual ceiling, previous-year income, one-person household",
      "value": 28054.93,
      "unit": "EUR",
      "period": "2026",
      "status": "verified",
      "source": "https://www.inami.fgov.be/fr/themes/soins-de-sante-cout-et-remboursement/facilites-financieres/intervention-majoree-plafonds-des-revenus"
    },
    {
      "id": "bim_current_sep",
      "label": "BIM annual ceiling, current income, one-person household",
      "value": 29236.66,
      "unit": "EUR",
      "period": "from 2026-09-01",
      "status": "verified",
      "source": "https://www.inami.fgov.be/fr/themes/soins-de-sante-cout-et-remboursement/facilites-financieres/intervention-majoree-plafonds-des-revenus"
    },
    {
      "id": "deficit_2031",
      "label": "Public deficit projection",
      "value": 6.3,
      "unit": "percent GDP",
      "period": "2031 projection",
      "status": "projection",
      "source": "https://www.plan.be/fr/publications/budget-economique-2026-2027-perspectives"
    },
    {
      "id": "debt_2031",
      "label": "Public debt projection",
      "value": 122,
      "unit": "percent GDP",
      "period": "2031 projection",
      "status": "projection",
      "source": "https://www.plan.be/fr/publications/budget-economique-2026-2027-perspectives"
    }
  ]
}